I think "fear" our [passing game might be a stretch. But defenses definitely need to 'respect" our passing game now, which hasn't been the case before. IMO, we're in the top 15 best passing attacks when controlling for some of the factors already mentioned (the fact taht we haven't gotten a lot of garbage time catch up production, cutler missinga game, etc.). I consider us a top 12-15 offense, and top 5 defense. Which means we're in the mix for the title. Anything can happen. But we're one of about 8 legit SB contenders:
That's really it in my mind. Denver might be next in, and Pittsburgh too if they get everyone healthy. But, that's really it. I wouldn't place a material prop bet on any one of them. Too close to call.
Not sure if you are right - you might be. Let's try. In no particular order:
Clearly better (9):
Pittsburgh (but only completely healthy)
I'd also personally these are better but not by miles (3)
San Francisco (skill positions not as good. But best o-line in football probably makes them better)
Dallas (imperfect o-line, better 2nd WR and TE, running game not as good even w/ Murray)
Tampa (Freeman greatly improved, 2 quality WRs, oline good despite losing 2 pro bowl guards, Martin real deal)
I don't consider these better, but someone might make a case and would be beauty-in-eye (3)
Detroit (Megatron > Marshall, Stafford similar to Cutler, probably better o-line... real close here)
Washington (dynamic RG3 and solid supporting cast)
Cincy (very good o-line, good young QB but not as good as Cutler, Gresham is talented, Green > Marshall, but very pedertrian RBs)
There are 15 who might be better. Who else you got? Seattle? Colts? I would say no.
Tennessee, Jets, Vikes, Phins, Bills, Browns, Jags, Titans, Chiefs, Raiders, Bolts, Eagles, Panthers, Rams? I say no way (unless you magically made the Eagles completely healthy, including their decimated o-line that's been problematic all year). I'd say ridiculous.
I realize I am not defending my position with stats. But stats are highly dependent upon schedule and circumstances. I'm talking about the offesnses I want to take into the playoffs. And I'd say 12-15 is a reasonable range.
Last edited by brantcruz50; 12-03-2012 at 12:58 AM.