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  1. #1
    Join Date
    Oct 2007
    Location
    Nashville, TN
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    3,829

    'Strength of Schedule" based on prior year records

    The TV personalities and writers not only use this, they tout it with a religious fervor, as if they have never hear of the word "parity".

    Do we have stats for, not just strength of schedule year to year, but PROJECTED SoS based on the prior year vs. what turns out to be the ACTUAL Sos?
    "I despise money" -NoSlowBuffalo-

  2. #2
    Join Date
    Aug 2005
    Location
    Republic of Texas
    Posts
    19,406
    I know that in the pre-season SoS for the Cowboys last year, the games against Detroit and San Francisco were projected as easy wins against pushover teams.

  3. #3
    Join Date
    Aug 2007
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    I don't care where, just far
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    25,582
    A few hours ago I was going to start collecting data to compare preseason SOS vs. actual SOS after the year's over for the last few seasons. I might still do it.

  4. #4
    Join Date
    Aug 2007
    Location
    I don't care where, just far
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    http://thebiglead.com/index.php/2012...-on-last-year/

    I was beaten to it, but oh well. I have enough on my plate. As expected, it's not that significant, but also not irrelevant either.

  5. #5
    Join Date
    Jun 2003
    Posts
    20,261
    Basically those stats seem to indicate that if you get an easy schedule based on last years SoS your actual schedule will be a little harder than you expect, and if you get a very difficult schedule based on last years SoS your actual schedule will be a little easier than you expect.

    It seems to support the notion that "it's working the way it's supposed to work" as bad teams get better (with high draft picks and easier schedules) and good teams get worse for the converse reassons.
    A Drinking Team with a Cycling Problem

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